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2024-12-13 19:46:59

Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Nevada Power Company applied to hold up to $2.1 billion in debt.Imperial Commercial Bank of Canada: cut the preferential loan interest rate in Canada by 50 basis points to 5.45%.


The consumption potential of the trade-in policy continued to be released. According to the VAT invoice data released by State Taxation Administration of The People's Republic of China on December 11th, from January to November, the retail sales revenue of household audio-visual equipment such as televisions and household appliances such as refrigerators increased by 15.9% and 18.7% respectively. The sales revenue of furniture retailing and sanitary ware retailing increased by 16.8% and 12.5% respectively. Experts said that recent data from various aspects show that the effect of the trade-in policy for consumer goods has appeared and the consumption potential has been continuously released. In the next stage, with the continuous expansion of the coverage of the "two new" policies and the recent package of economic incremental policies, the policy effect is expected to be further revealed. (CSI)The yield of 20/30-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 5 basis points on the release date of US CPI inflation data. Investors also paid attention to oil prices and Yellen's new debt supply. At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11), the yield of US 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 3.89 basis points to 4.2652%. After the release of US CPI inflation data at 21:30 Beijing time, it plunged significantly and refreshed at 22:41 (the beginning of US stock market). Then it rebounded, and the results released at 02:00 showed that the auction of 10-year US bonds was strong, the bid multiple reached a new high since 2016, and the yield reached 4.2750% at 03:00. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 1.02 basis points to 4.1532%, and reached 4.1741% at 21:17 (less than a quarter of an hour before the release of the US CPI data). After the data was released, it plunged, and reached 4.0969% at 22:41, and then gradually rebounded.Aiming at the low-interest inclusive credit intermediary packaging, I recently visited a number of loan intermediaries and found that these companies are very similar in business layout and office space. The bank logo on the wall is standard, and the daily performance information of loan managers is scrolled on the electronic screen hanging at the entrance. Observing the screen, it is not difficult to find that the Pratt & Whitney mortgage loan for small and micro enterprises is the main product of loan managers in the near future. Customizing shell companies for borrowers according to bank audit requirements to apply for mortgage loans has become a routine means for loan intermediaries to attract customers. Although many banks explicitly require that cooperation with loan intermediaries is not allowed, the attitude of bank branches and grassroots employees towards loan intermediaries is ambiguous. According to industry insiders, inclusive loans are special loans that benefit small and micro enterprises, farmers and other special groups and must be implemented. With the implementation of the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises, banks and enterprises are expected to achieve accurate docking, so that credit resources can flow to small and micro enterprises with real financing needs. (CSI)


Brazil's Vale said it had reached an agreement with the US Department of Energy to provide financing of $282.9 million for the Louisiana plant until 2031.Ukraine plans to legalize cryptocurrency in early 2025. It is reported that cryptocurrency will be legalized in Ukraine by the first quarter of 2025, but it is unlikely to provide tax relief. Danylo Hetmantsev, Chairman of the Finance, Taxation and Customs Policy Committee of the Ukrainian Parliament, said: "When it comes to cryptocurrencies, the working group of the Parliament is completing the first reading of a draft law. I believe that the text worked out in cooperation with the National Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will be ready after the New Year. Our goal is to pass this law and legalize cryptocurrency in the first quarter of 2025. " Hetmantsev said that cryptocurrency will not be tax-free, and the form of tax will follow the example of securities and tax profits when assets are converted into currency. "After consulting with European experts and the IMF, we are very cautious about using cryptocurrency for tax exemption, because it may aggravate tax evasion in traditional markets," he said.Adobe's annual performance guidance was worse than expected, and its share price fell more than 5% after hours. Adobe's adjusted EPS in the fourth quarter was $4.81, and analysts expected $4.67. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $5.61 billion, and analysts expected $5.54 billion. It is estimated that the adjusted EPS in FY 2025 will be $20.20-$20.50, and analysts expect $20.52. The adjusted EPS in the first fiscal quarter is expected to be $4.95-$5.00, and analysts expect $4.95. Adobe's U.S. stocks fell 1.81% after hours-the decline then expanded to 5.40%, and rose 0.38% before the performance report was released.

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